New! MyDD on Cranley - Chabot Matchup
Why OH-01 Matters
by Adam Conner, Mon Nov 06, 2006 at 12:38:28 AM EST
Almost all of the races that I have visited on my "Midwest MapChangers" roadtrip (OH-01, OH-02, KY-02, KY-03, KY-04, IN-08, and IN-09) have had certain factors that have helped make them competitive this year. IN-09 and KY-04 are both rematches between incumbents and former incumbents, KY-03 is a heavily Democratic district, the Democrat in IN-08 jumped to an early lead, and the KY-02 and OH-02 are heavily Republican districts that are considered competitive mainly because of the Democratic wave (and because of the craziness of Schmidt).
But the OH-01 is different. This is a race that is as evenly matched as Democratic challenger can make them these days. Of course this means that the incumbent still retains many advantages, particularly financial, as Republicans desperately pour money into the district in a last-minute attempt to hold onto Steve Chabots seat as polls show Democrat John Cranley narrowly ahead.
The race in OH-01 is important because it falls between the seats we're almost guaranteed to win and the long-shot races that may be swept up in a wave. It's a closely matched, hard-fought, and an absolutely essential win for a future Democratic majority. It's the kind of race that we have to win, not just for control of Congress, but to regain our confidence that Democrats can face Republicans head-on and win. Which is one of the reasons I decided to stay here until Election Day.
There are other races like this, in places like NM-01 and KY-03, where incumbents who haven't committed egregious offenses, like e-molesting pages or choking their mistress, but none the less find themselves in the last throes of their incumbency. Without a record of accomplishment to run on all they have left is their horrendous negative campaigns, replete with as many dirty tricks as they can fit into the next 2 days.
As Election Day approaches and the polls naturally tighten as the undecideds decide, the center of this kind of battle is Ohio's First District. CQ has just switched the race to "Toss-Up" and now it all comes down to beating the Republicans on the ground.
And with less than 48 hours left till the polls close, the people around me now in the Cranley HQ aren't shying away from a fight. In fact they're relishing it. They've had enough. They're ready for a change.
So if you're in or near Cincinnati come by Cranley HQ at 3621 Harrison Ave or call 513-241-1777 to help out. Trust me, you're going to want to be a part of this. Because The Democratic Majority starts in the Ohio First.
Adam's "Midwest MapChangers" Roadtrip is brought to you by the AFL-CIO's Labor 2006 Program